River Plate Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 0
RIV
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 5
BOS
54%
24%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
MWA
1 - 1
RIV
47%
24%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 0
RIV
25%
26%
49%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 2
DEF
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
DEF
2 - 0
SUD
51%
27%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
DEF
0 - 1
JUV
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
BOS
1 - 1
DEF
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 0
FEN
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 2
DEF
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +2 |