Guayaquil City vs Universidad Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
55.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2020 |
IVT
3 - 0
RIV
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
RIV
2 - 1
BSC
23%
26%
52%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
LDU
3 - 1
RIV
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
RIV
0 - 0
DEL
25%
27%
49%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
CUE
1 - 1
RIV
54%
25%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
UCE
4 - 0
LDU
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
MUS
1 - 2
UCE
30%
25%
44%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
UCE
1 - 1
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
LIG
2 - 1
UCE
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2020 |
UCE
3 - 1
AUC
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |