Guayaquil City vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 1
LOJ
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
EME
3 - 1
RIV
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2015 |
LIG
1 - 0
RIV
63%
22%
14%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 0
AUC
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
QUI
0 - 3
RIV
49%
27%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
CUE
1 - 1
MUS
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
MUS
1 - 0
BSC
33%
28%
39%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
MUS
1 - 2
NAC
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
UCE
1 - 1
MUS
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
MUS
2 - 2
EME
30%
28%
42%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |