Guayaquil City vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
45.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CUE
0 - 0
RIV
57%
25%
19%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
BSC
0 - 1
RIV
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
TEC
3 - 2
RIV
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
RIV
1 - 4
LIG
24%
29%
47%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 1
RIV
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
AUC
3 - 0
TEC
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 2
AUC
55%
24%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
AUC
2 - 0
DEL
35%
27%
39%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2018 |
EME
2 - 0
AUC
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
AUC
0 - 0
BSC
34%
28%
39%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |