Guayaquil City vs 9 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
33.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
AUC
2 - 1
RIV
65%
21%
15%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
RIV
0 - 1
IVT
29%
26%
45%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
TEC
3 - 1
RIV
42%
27%
30%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
RIV
0 - 0
MAC
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
DEL
1 - 3
RIV
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
OCT
0 - 3
EME
41%
25%
35%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
OCT
2 - 0
MUS
49%
23%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
OCT
1 - 2
AUC
36%
24%
40%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 0
OCT
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
OCT
2 - 0
AUC
33%
23%
44%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +2 |