River Plate David vs Santa Gema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
49.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate David
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
TIE
2 - 0
RIV
46%
23%
32%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
RIV
0 - 3
SUN
19%
22%
59%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
VIS
1 - 0
RIV
39%
23%
38%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 4
OES
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 1
COL
31%
25%
45%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Gema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
MIL
4 - 2
GEM
44%
25%
30%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 0
GEM
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
GEM
2 - 1
CEN
59%
23%
19%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2014 |
GEM
0 - 1
CHI
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
COS
0 - 0
GEM
54%
24%
23%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |