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Copa Sudamericana. Group E, Matchday 5

Club River Plate Peñarol
25 ELO 70
-23% Tilt -13%
5128º General ELO ranking 234º
12º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
14%
Club River Plate
22.2%
Draw
63.7%
Peñarol

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
Club River Plate
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
63.7%
Win probability
Peñarol
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

Basic stats

28
72
POS
9
5
SOT
2
5
COR
2
1
GF
1
2
GC
25
70
ELO
0.7
1.8
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Club River Plate
Their league position
Peñarol
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
13
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected probabilities
Club River Plate
Peñarol