Club River Plate vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
45.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
RPA
1 - 1
CCP
23%
25%
51%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
RPA
2 - 1
HUA
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 0
RPA
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
RPA
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
RPA
1 - 3
LIB
21%
25%
54%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2021 |
PEÑ
4 - 0
COR
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
RPA
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
COR
0 - 2
PEÑ
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
PEÑ
5 - 1
HUA
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
PEÑ
4 - 1
CEL
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |