Rivadavia Lincoln vs Gimnasia Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
27.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rivadavia Lincoln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
RAO
2 - 2
RIV
37%
27%
35%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
RIV
1 - 2
CIP
32%
28%
41%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
RIV
3 - 1
JUU
40%
28%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
MAI
1 - 0
RIV
50%
27%
23%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2012 |
RIV
2 - 2
JUU
40%
28%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
GIM
1 - 1
JUU
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ALV
2 - 1
GIM
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
GIM
1 - 2
MAI
38%
29%
33%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
RAO
0 - 1
GIM
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2012 |
GIM
2 - 1
DHA
34%
28%
39%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +2 |