Torneo Regional Federal Amateur . 1/32
Global 0-20
Rivadavia Lincoln vs Defensores de Salto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
5.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rivadavia Lincoln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
RIV
3 - 1
JNJ
90%
8%
2%
|
42 | 12 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
LIN
1 - 0
RIV
19%
21%
60%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
RIV
4 - 0
VBJ
74%
16%
11%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
VIA
0 - 1
RIV
11%
18%
71%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
COL
1 - 2
RIV
13%
19%
68%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Defensores de Salto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
DEF
2 - 1
ARP
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
SBA
1 - 0
DEF
46%
23%
32%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
JUV
0 - 1
DEF
43%
26%
31%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2019 |
DEF
2 - 1
CHA
66%
18%
16%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2019 |
SPO
1 - 2
DEF
42%
24%
34%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |