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FAW Championship Gales. Sur, Matchday 20

Risca United vs Cwmbran Celtic analysis

Risca United Cwmbran Celtic
16 ELO 12
69% Tilt 67%
3962º General ELO ranking 4351º
32º Country ELO ranking 39º
ELO win probability
54.4%
Risca United
19.3%
Draw
26.3%
Cwmbran Celtic

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
Risca United
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.3%
26.3%
Win probability
Cwmbran Celtic
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Risca United
+31%
+37%
Cwmbran Celtic

Points and table prediction

Risca United
Their league position
Cwmbran Celtic
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
10º
14º
14º
17
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Pontypridd Town
42
64
32%
Llantwit Major
40
61
28%
Briton Ferry
38
63
20%
Goytre United
37
52
19%
Cambrian & Clydach
34
53
17%
Carmarthen Town
31
45
14%
Swansea University
30
43
13%
Llanelli Town AFC
29
43
12%
Taffs Well
24
43
10%
Ammanford AFC
10º
23
40
10º
11%
Trefelin
11º
21
39
11º
10%
Afan Lido
12º
19
32
13º
13%
Risca United
13º
18
31
14º
14%
Cwmbran Celtic
14º
17
33
12º
14%
Undy Athletic
15º
12
26
15º
27%
Port Talbot Town
16º
0
3
16º
98%
Expected probabilities
Risca United
Cwmbran Celtic
Champion
0% 0%
Mid-table
82% 81%
Relegation
18% 19%

ELO progression

Cwmbran Celtic
CWM
Risca United
RIS
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Risca United
Risca United
1%
X%
2%
ELO RIS ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Dec. 2021
RIS
Risca United
0 - 2
Cambrian & Clydach
CAM
41%
28%
31%
222 283 -61 -2
10 Dec. 2021
GOY
Goytre United
1 - 1
Risca United
RIS
47%
27%
26%
223 304 81 0
03 Dec. 2021
RIS
Risca United
2 - 1
Ammanford AFC
AAF
36%
27%
38%
222 833 -611 +2
19 Nov. 2021
AAF
Ammanford AFC
2 - 2
Risca United
RIS
51%
26%
23%
194 363 169 0
05 Nov. 2021
RIS
Risca United
1 - 1
Goytre United
GOY
41%
28%
31%
194 265 -71 0

Matches

Cwmbran Celtic
Cwmbran Celtic
1%
X%
2%
ELO CWM ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Dec. 2021
LLA
Llanelli Town AFC
2 - 0
Cwmbran Celtic
CWM
47%
27%
26%
182 216 34 -2
11 Dec. 2021
CWM
Cwmbran Celtic
0 - 3
Taffs Well
TAF
46%
27%
27%
184 200 -16 -2
04 Dec. 2021
UND
Undy Athletic
3 - 4
Cwmbran Celtic
CWM
46%
27%
26%
182 234 52 +1
20 Nov. 2021
CWM
Cwmbran Celtic
1 - 2
Undy Athletic
UND
45%
27%
28%
178 150 28 -1
05 Nov. 2021
TAF
Taffs Well
3 - 3
Cwmbran Celtic
CWM
46%
27%
26%
178 238 60 0