Risborough Rangers vs Virginia Water analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
24.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Risborough Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
BUR
5 - 0
RIS
30%
22%
48%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
RIS
0 - 1
CHA
87%
9%
4%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
RIS
4 - 0
MIL
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
RIS
3 - 2
HFC
75%
15%
11%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
RIS
5 - 0
WEM
70%
16%
14%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Virginia Water
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
EGH
0 - 0
VIR
42%
23%
35%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
RAY
4 - 1
VIR
55%
20%
24%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
BUR
2 - 4
VIR
49%
21%
30%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
WEM
1 - 1
VIR
27%
22%
51%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
VIR
1 - 0
EDT
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |