Rio Negro AM vs Manaus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
57.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Negro AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
PRI
2 - 2
RIO
69%
19%
12%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 2
RIO
52%
22%
27%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
RIO
0 - 1
NAC
18%
21%
62%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
FAS
3 - 1
RIO
77%
15%
8%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 1
SAO
27%
24%
49%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Manaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 1
MAN
41%
22%
37%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 1
NAC
28%
24%
49%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
PRI
1 - 0
MAN
50%
22%
28%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 1
FAS
23%
23%
54%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
MAN
24%
21%
55%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |