Rio Maior vs CD Torres Novas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
59%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Maior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
UFT
2 - 0
RMA
85%
11%
4%
|
9 | 54 | 45 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
RMA
2 - 1
BEN
56%
21%
23%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
COR
1 - 0
RMA
84%
11%
5%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
MAC
0 - 1
RMA
64%
19%
17%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
RMA
4 - 0
USA
29%
23%
49%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
CD Torres Novas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CDT
1 - 0
CAR
73%
16%
12%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 2
CDT
16%
20%
64%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CDT
2 - 4
CDA
78%
14%
9%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
CDT
2 - 1
UCH
89%
8%
3%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
EMP
4 - 0
CDT
29%
23%
47%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -2 |