Rio Claro vs América SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+172%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 0
RIO
35%
26%
40%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
FER
1 - 0
RIO
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
4 - 0
SAO
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
MON
0 - 0
RIO
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 2
SAN
55%
24%
22%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
VEL
2 - 2
AME
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
AME
2 - 4
SAO
33%
25%
43%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
AME
1 - 2
FER
36%
25%
40%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
AME
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
AME
2 - 3
ATL
34%
25%
42%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |