Rio Branco Acre vs São Francisco AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.3%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.5%
4.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+123%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco Acre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
MAN
1 - 1
RIO
60%
22%
19%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
RIO
1 - 3
GAL
38%
21%
41%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 2
RIO
62%
21%
17%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
RIO
2 - 2
SAO
59%
20%
21%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
RIO
1 - 2
PLA
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
São Francisco AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
SFC
0 - 3
SCH
7%
12%
81%
|
7 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
AND
1 - 0
SFC
66%
17%
17%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
SFC
1 - 2
PLA
9%
15%
77%
|
8 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ATL
8 - 0
SFC
85%
10%
5%
|
8 | 38 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
SFC
2 - 6
VAS
29%
24%
47%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -11 |