Rio Branco Acre vs Nova Mutum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
67%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco Acre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 0
SCH
48%
21%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SCH
1 - 0
RIO
33%
22%
45%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
GAL
1 - 3
RIO
46%
24%
30%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
ATL
3 - 4
RIO
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
SCH
0 - 1
RIO
35%
22%
43%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Nova Mutum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
AGU
1 - 3
NME
21%
21%
58%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
NME
0 - 2
UBE
38%
28%
35%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
UBE
1 - 1
NME
45%
27%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
NME
1 - 0
APA
31%
28%
41%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
JAR
1 - 2
NME
14%
22%
64%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |