Série D Brazil . Last 16
Global 2-2
Rio Branco Acre vs Manaus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco Acre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
IND
3 - 1
RIO
43%
26%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
RIO
3 - 0
IND
42%
25%
34%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
RIO
4 - 1
ECM
84%
10%
6%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
RIO
16%
19%
66%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
MAN
0 - 1
RIO
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Manaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
MAN
1 - 0
SAN
54%
24%
22%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
MAN
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
MAN
3 - 0
BAR
81%
12%
7%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2018 |
ECM
2 - 1
MAN
10%
16%
73%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
MAN
0 - 1
RIO
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |