Acreano . Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Rio Branco Acre vs Independência analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco Acre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2006 |
RIO
2 - 1
VAS
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 33 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
ATL
1 - 3
RIO
21%
22%
57%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2006 |
RIO
2 - 0
AND
78%
15%
8%
|
61 | 17 | 44 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
NAU
4 - 1
RIO
50%
22%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
RIO
0 - 1
NAU
52%
23%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Independência
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2006 |
JUV
1 - 1
IND
68%
18%
14%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2006 |
IND
1 - 1
ADE
20%
22%
58%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
IND
3 - 0
SFC
73%
15%
11%
|
30 | 8 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
IND
0 - 0
NAC
12%
18%
70%
|
30 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
GRE
3 - 1
IND
69%
18%
13%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -2 |