Acreano . Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Rio Branco Acre vs Independência analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+94%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco Acre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2006 |
ADE
2 - 0
RIO
28%
23%
49%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2006 |
RIO
1 - 2
IND
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 33 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2006 |
JUV
2 - 3
RIO
23%
23%
54%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2006 |
RIO
5 - 1
SFC
78%
15%
8%
|
61 | 8 | 53 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
RIO
1 - 1
ADE
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Independência
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2006 |
IND
2 - 2
AND
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2006 |
RIO
1 - 2
IND
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 61 | 28 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
ATL
2 - 5
IND
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
IND
3 - 3
VAS
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2006 |
RIO
2 - 1
IND
74%
16%
10%
|
32 | 61 | 29 | 0 |