Rio Branco PR vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
41.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
JUV
0 - 0
RIO
51%
24%
26%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 1
MAR
31%
28%
41%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
CAX
5 - 1
RIO
62%
23%
16%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 0
ESP
34%
26%
39%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 0
RIO
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
JEC
46%
27%
27%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
JEC
1 - 0
JUV
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
JEC
1 - 0
AIM
31%
28%
42%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 3
JEC
57%
25%
18%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
BRU
1 - 0
JEC
70%
19%
12%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |