Rio Branco PR vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
44.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 0
RIO
57%
24%
19%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
RIO
2 - 2
JUV
32%
27%
41%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
JEC
3 - 0
RIO
59%
23%
18%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 0
AIM
28%
26%
46%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 1
RIO
64%
22%
14%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
CAX
1 - 1
CAS
30%
26%
45%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CAX
0 - 1
ESP
55%
25%
20%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
AIM
2 - 0
CAX
37%
30%
34%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
CAX
0 - 0
JEC
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 0
CAX
37%
30%
34%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |