Rio Branco ES vs Vitória ES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
36.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
RIO
1 - 1
REA
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
DES
1 - 1
RIO
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
RIO
0 - 2
EST
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 0
RIO
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 2
RIO
43%
27%
30%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
VIT
2 - 2
VFC
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
REA
1 - 0
VIT
40%
26%
35%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
VIT
4 - 0
COL
9%
14%
77%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 2
REA
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
REA
0 - 0
VIT
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |