Rio Branco ES vs Estrela do Norte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
VFC
3 - 0
RIO
15%
19%
67%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
RIO
1 - 2
POR
86%
11%
3%
|
53 | 7 | 46 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
VIT
1 - 1
RIO
51%
24%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
RIO
1 - 0
REA
30%
26%
44%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
REA
0 - 0
RIO
50%
25%
24%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Estrela do Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
NVE
13%
18%
69%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
SER
1 - 0
EST
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
VIT
1 - 1
EST
74%
18%
9%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
EST
0 - 2
VIT
17%
23%
59%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
DES
0 - 0
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |