Rio Branco ES vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2021 |
RIO
2 - 0
AQU
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
AQU
1 - 4
RIO
28%
27%
45%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
RVV
3 - 0
RIO
57%
21%
22%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 0
RVV
24%
21%
55%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 0
SER
49%
22%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
POA
0 - 0
CAL
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
BOA
2 - 0
CAL
60%
23%
17%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 0
ATH
34%
25%
42%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
COI
0 - 2
CAL
36%
25%
38%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 2
UBE
28%
26%
46%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |