Rio Ave vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
52.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 1
ARO
57%
25%
19%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 0
ACA
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
VST
2 - 0
RIO
37%
28%
35%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SPC
1 - 3
RIO
23%
26%
51%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 0
BEL
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SPB
4 - 1
GFC
72%
18%
9%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
SPB
3 - 1
AVE
77%
16%
7%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
BEL
2 - 1
SPB
19%
24%
57%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
SPB
5 - 0
BEL
71%
19%
10%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SPB
1 - 1
PAÇ
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |