Rio Ave vs Moreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
FAR
0 - 1
RIO
21%
26%
53%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
RIO
0 - 3
SLB
22%
23%
56%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
FAM
1 - 1
RIO
37%
26%
36%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
RIO
2 - 2
ACM
27%
26%
47%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
RIO
0 - 0
VIT
49%
25%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MOR
2 - 1
MAR
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
BEL
0 - 0
MOR
35%
29%
36%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
MOR
1 - 1
BOA
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
SLB
2 - 0
MOR
80%
13%
7%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
MOR
2 - 0
FAR
59%
24%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |