Rio Ave vs Estrela Amadora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
28.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
BEL
1 - 0
RIO
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
VIT
0 - 1
RIO
61%
24%
15%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
RIO
0 - 0
SPB
28%
29%
43%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
NAV
0 - 1
RIO
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
RIO
2 - 1
TRO
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
EST
1 - 0
VIT
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
NAV
0 - 0
EST
45%
28%
28%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
EST
2 - 1
LEX
46%
28%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
SCP
2 - 1
EST
76%
16%
8%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
EST
2 - 1
FCP
17%
23%
59%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +1 |