Rio Ave vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
34.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
UNM
2 - 1
RIO
29%
27%
45%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
VST
4 - 1
RIO
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
ACA
1 - 0
RIO
34%
29%
37%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SCP
4 - 2
RIO
68%
20%
11%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
RIO
0 - 0
MAR
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
EST
1 - 0
ARO
61%
23%
17%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
SPC
3 - 2
EST
17%
23%
61%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
BOA
1 - 2
EST
18%
27%
55%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2015 |
EST
3 - 0
GFC
65%
21%
15%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
MOR
54%
25%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |