Rio Ave vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
25.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
17º
11º
23
14º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 69 |
3º
|
43% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 69 |
4º
|
43% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 52 |
6º
|
91.5% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 49 |
7º
|
91.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 45 |
8º
|
93.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 41 |
9º
|
79.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
10º
|
46% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
35% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 34 |
13º
|
29% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
29.5% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 31 |
15º
|
50% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
77.5% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
97% | |
|
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
18º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
ARO
2 - 0
RIO
43%
26%
32%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
RIO
3 - 0
ACV
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
RIO
10 - 0
SCO
81%
14%
6%
|
71 | 8 | 63 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
RIO
1 - 1
VIT
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 2
RIO
58%
21%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
FAM
39%
24%
37%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
CHA
4 - 2
FEI
55%
24%
22%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 0
CHA
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
AVE
1 - 1
CHA
4%
12%
84%
|
70 | 12 | 58 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 2
CHA
23%
24%
53%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |