Río Abajo vs River Plate David analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.2%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
18.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.5%
1-0
21.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
29.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
21.8%
7.2%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-83%
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 24 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
13 | 13 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 8 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Mid-table | 100% | 100% |
ELO progression
RIO
RIV
OES
COS
CEN
TIE
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Río Abajo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO RIO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
CEN
1 - 0
RIO
41%
28%
31%
|
305 | 225 | -80 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 0
NAC
46%
27%
26%
|
303 | 255 | 48 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
COS
2 - 1
RIO
41%
28%
31%
|
305 | 232 | -73 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 0
CHI
48%
27%
25%
|
303 | 223 | 80 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
RIO
3 - 0
MIL
47%
27%
26%
|
301 | 255 | 46 | +2 |
Matches
River Plate David
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO RIV | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
VER
0 - 0
RIV
47%
27%
26%
|
232 | 280 | 48 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 1
GEM
45%
27%
28%
|
232 | 234 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
TIE
2 - 0
RIV
46%
27%
27%
|
234 | 210 | -24 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
RIV
0 - 3
SUN
46%
27%
28%
|
236 | 279 | -43 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
VIS
1 - 0
RIV
46%
27%
28%
|
238 | 195 | -43 | -1 |