Rimini vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
26%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rimini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
CES
3 - 2
RIM
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
RIM
2 - 2
CTT
47%
26%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
PIS
1 - 1
RIM
47%
27%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
RIM
1 - 0
REG
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
SPA
1 - 1
RIM
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
ASL
1 - 0
ARZ
36%
28%
37%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
ASL
0 - 3
PIS
46%
28%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
CES
2 - 1
ASL
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
ASL
2 - 2
PIS
47%
28%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2004 |
VAR
0 - 2
ASL
39%
30%
32%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |