HNK Rijeka vs NK Osijek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
33.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
3º
10º
4º
50
3º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
DZG
3 - 1
RIJ
55%
22%
24%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
RIJ
1 - 2
NKV
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
IST
1 - 1
RIJ
14%
21%
65%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
RIJ
0 - 1
SLA
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
LOK
3 - 1
RIJ
31%
24%
46%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
NK Osijek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
OSI
1 - 1
HNS
68%
21%
11%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
OSI
2 - 1
HKS
31%
26%
43%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
DZG
5 - 2
OSI
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
OSI
2 - 2
NKV
63%
24%
13%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
IST
1 - 0
OSI
15%
22%
63%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | -1 |