HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
3º
10º
4º
46
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
IST
1 - 1
RIJ
14%
21%
65%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
RIJ
0 - 1
SLA
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
LOK
3 - 1
RIJ
31%
24%
46%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
RIJ
1 - 1
HNG
62%
21%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
DJU
2 - 0
RIJ
37%
24%
39%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
NKV
2 - 2
HNS
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
OSI
2 - 2
NKV
63%
24%
13%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
NKV
1 - 1
DZG
18%
23%
59%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
NKV
0 - 2
HKS
16%
22%
62%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
SHA
1 - 2
NKV
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |