Rieti vs Matese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
41.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
RIE
54%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
RIE
1 - 2
CAM
26%
26%
48%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
MON
2 - 0
RIE
34%
25%
41%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
RIE
2 - 0
APR
58%
21%
21%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
RIE
1 - 0
CAS
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Matese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
MAT
1 - 1
PIN
50%
25%
26%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
GIU
3 - 3
MAT
17%
21%
62%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
MAT
3 - 2
REC
57%
21%
22%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
SEL
0 - 1
MAT
10%
16%
74%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
MAT
2 - 0
VAS
57%
20%
23%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |