Ricla vs Ariza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
34.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+111%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ricla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ALF
4 - 0
RIC
56%
21%
24%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
RIC
1 - 1
DAR
41%
23%
37%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ZAL
2 - 1
RIC
49%
21%
30%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
RIC
0 - 2
PCU
37%
23%
41%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
RBR
2 - 0
RIC
76%
14%
10%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ariza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ARI
1 - 2
PCU
35%
22%
43%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
RBR
4 - 0
ARI
80%
12%
7%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ARI
1 - 2
ANI
23%
20%
57%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
GOT
3 - 0
ARI
75%
14%
11%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ARI
1 - 3
SES
57%
20%
24%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | -2 |