Richmond Kickers vs Lexington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.8%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.4%
3.6%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+126%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
11º
11º
32
6º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Richmond Kickers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 2
RIC
30%
26%
44%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
GTR
2 - 2
RIC
33%
28%
39%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
RIC
0 - 0
OMA
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 3
RIC
48%
26%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
DCU
1 - 0
RIC
79%
14%
7%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Lexington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
LSC
1 - 0
CHA
7%
17%
76%
|
12 | 52 | 40 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CRW
3 - 1
LSC
87%
10%
3%
|
12 | 50 | 38 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
LSC
0 - 2
GTR
7%
17%
77%
|
12 | 50 | 38 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
LSC
2 - 1
TOR
7%
18%
76%
|
11 | 53 | 42 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
LSC
0 - 0
FMA
4%
11%
85%
|
6 | 46 | 40 | +5 |