Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
50.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
13º
13º
70
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 100% |
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Richards Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
RIB
1 - 0
SWA
41%
29%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CHI
3 - 3
RIB
39%
30%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
RIB
1 - 0
MPU
26%
29%
45%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
RIB
0 - 0
MAR
40%
29%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PIR
0 - 0
RIB
54%
27%
19%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2023 |
SUN
2 - 0
SWA
66%
22%
13%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
SUN
2 - 0
PIR
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
RKF
0 - 3
SUN
31%
28%
41%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 5
SUN
26%
28%
46%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SUN
0 - 3
PIR
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -2 |