Ribeirão vs União Montemor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ribeirão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
RIB
2 - 1
FAF
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MER
1 - 1
RIB
27%
25%
48%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
RIB
0 - 1
VAR
28%
29%
44%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
LOU
1 - 1
RIB
27%
25%
48%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
RIB
2 - 1
CAM
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
União Montemor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
LUS
17%
23%
61%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
FAB
1 - 1
UNI
80%
14%
6%
|
31 | 64 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 2
FAR
10%
22%
68%
|
32 | 70 | 38 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
MES
0 - 0
UNI
38%
25%
38%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
RED
79%
14%
7%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | -1 |