Perwez vs Stockel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.1%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.3%
4.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
1º
9º
1º
19
8º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
65% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
19 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perwez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MEU
1 - 1
RFC
79%
13%
8%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
TIE
0 - 1
RFC
57%
21%
22%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
RFC
2 - 0
CIN
31%
20%
49%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
RFC
9 - 1
MON
81%
13%
7%
|
38 | 9 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Stockel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
STO
0 - 2
FCS
20%
21%
59%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
JOD
4 - 1
STO
73%
17%
11%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
ENT
3 - 2
STO
78%
14%
8%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
STO
3 - 4
RAP
22%
22%
56%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
GOS
1 - 0
STO
42%
23%
34%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |