Perwez vs Grez-Doiceau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
10.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-65%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
1º
9º
1º
47
4º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
65% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perwez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
RFC
7 - 0
ETT
85%
10%
5%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 2
RFC
29%
22%
49%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
FCG
1 - 3
RFC
44%
22%
34%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
RFC
0 - 2
STA
76%
14%
10%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
EVE
0 - 2
RFC
8%
14%
78%
|
38 | 14 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Grez-Doiceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 3
KOS
35%
22%
44%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
GRE
3 - 0
STO
79%
13%
8%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
RIX
2 - 1
GRE
13%
18%
70%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
GRE
4 - 5
BXB
83%
11%
6%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
NSB
3 - 2
GRE
34%
22%
44%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |