Perwez vs Saint-Josse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
9.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-58%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
1º
9º
1º
41
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
65% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perwez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SAI
0 - 2
RFC
12%
17%
71%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
RFC
0 - 3
GRE
75%
15%
10%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
RFC
7 - 0
ETT
85%
10%
5%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 2
RFC
29%
22%
49%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
FCG
1 - 3
RFC
44%
22%
34%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Saint-Josse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
KOS
3 - 2
FCS
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 4
FCG
35%
25%
41%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 0
SAI
67%
18%
15%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ETT
1 - 2
FCS
24%
23%
53%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 1
SPO
43%
24%
34%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |