Gilly vs Le Roeulx analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.9%
15.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-102%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
13º
7º
26
12º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
51.5% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
51.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 53 |
4º
|
83% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
83% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
86% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
86% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 28 |
14º
|
86% | |
|
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
86% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 14% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 86% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gilly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
RFC
2 - 2
RAN
33%
23%
44%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FLE
2 - 2
RFC
44%
22%
34%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
RFC
1 - 2
BEL
19%
19%
62%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
LUI
1 - 3
RFC
13%
17%
70%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
RFC
6 - 5
MON
37%
24%
40%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Le Roeulx
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LER
1 - 4
FLE
38%
22%
41%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BEL
11 - 0
LER
70%
19%
11%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LER
1 - 1
LUI
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MON
2 - 2
LER
70%
17%
14%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
LER
0 - 6
MOL
19%
20%
62%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -2 |