Fourth Division Iceland Normal Season Round 22

Reynir vs Árbær analysis

Reynir Árbær
52 ELO 50
23.2% Tilt 28.1%
6984º General ELO ranking 4920º
48º Country ELO ranking 32º
ELO win probability
58.9%
Reynir
20.8%
Draw
20.3%
Árbær

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
Reynir
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
20.3%
Win probability
Árbær
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Reynir
-33%
-11%
Árbær

ELO progression

Reynir
Árbær
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Reynir
Reynir
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Sep. 2023
YKP
Ýmir
3 - 5
Reynir
REY
22%
20%
58%
52 42 10 0
01 Sep. 2023
KAR
Kári
4 - 3
Reynir
REY
25%
21%
53%
52 46 6 0
24 Aug. 2023
REY
Reynir
3 - 2
Kormákur / Hvöt
KOH
62%
20%
19%
52 48 4 0
20 Aug. 2023
HVI
Hvíti Riddarinn
0 - 4
Reynir
REY
27%
22%
52%
51 44 7 +1
16 Aug. 2023
REY
Reynir
6 - 1
KF Framherjar-Smástund
KFF
70%
17%
14%
50 41 9 +1

Matches

Árbær
Árbær
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 2023
FCA
Árbær
2 - 1
Kári
KAR
54%
21%
25%
49 47 2 0
02 Sep. 2023
KOH
Kormákur / Hvöt
3 - 2
Árbær
FCA
45%
23%
32%
50 48 2 -1
25 Aug. 2023
FCA
Árbær
4 - 0
Hvíti Riddarinn
HVI
57%
20%
24%
49 42 7 +1
20 Aug. 2023
KFF
KF Framherjar-Smástund
0 - 5
Árbær
FCA
38%
24%
39%
48 40 8 +1
16 Aug. 2023
FCA
Árbær
3 - 2
Ellidi
ELL
61%
20%
20%
47 42 5 +1