Revilla vs Buelna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
40.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
AYR
3 - 0
REV
20%
24%
56%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
REV
5 - 1
NMO
55%
22%
23%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
GIM
0 - 1
REV
53%
23%
25%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
REV
2 - 0
VEL
46%
24%
30%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SDT
1 - 1
REV
43%
23%
34%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Buelna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
BUE
1 - 1
RIN
74%
16%
10%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
SEL
6 - 1
BUE
48%
24%
27%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
BUE
1 - 1
MIN
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
MDP
1 - 1
BUE
12%
19%
69%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
BUE
2 - 0
SDR
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |