Retie vs Herselt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.4%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.8%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.9%
2.7%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
12º
6º
9
12º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
9 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Retie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ANT
1 - 7
RET
36%
22%
42%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
RET
2 - 2
RAN
68%
17%
15%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
VOS
1 - 1
RET
41%
22%
37%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
RET
3 - 1
DEK
45%
22%
33%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
VOR
0 - 3
RET
20%
21%
60%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Herselt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HER
0 - 5
TIS
6%
13%
81%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ANT
1 - 0
HER
91%
7%
3%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
VOR
1 - 0
HER
79%
13%
7%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
HER
0 - 3
VOS
7%
13%
81%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BED
2 - 1
HER
86%
10%
4%
|
10 | 41 | 31 | 0 |