Retie vs GBA Kontich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
29.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
12º
6º
57
3º
15º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Retie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
TIS
2 - 1
RET
53%
21%
26%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
RET
2 - 0
HER
90%
8%
3%
|
30 | 8 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ANT
1 - 7
RET
36%
22%
42%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +3 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
RET
2 - 2
RAN
68%
17%
15%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
VOS
1 - 1
RET
41%
22%
37%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
GBA Kontich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GBA
1 - 0
TER
27%
22%
52%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LOE
3 - 1
GBA
18%
19%
63%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GBA
3 - 4
MAR
51%
22%
26%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
GBA
2 - 4
BED
22%
22%
56%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
DEK
1 - 1
GBA
42%
22%
36%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |