Carioca 1 Primera Ronda. Jor. 3

Resende vs Bonsucesso analysis

Resende Bonsucesso
45 ELO 43
2.4% Tilt -7.8%
22521º General ELO ranking 22518º
557º Country ELO ranking 554º
ELO win probability
60.3%
Resende
22.5%
Draw
17.2%
Bonsucesso

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
Resende
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.2%
Win probability
Bonsucesso
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Resende
-33%
+3%
Bonsucesso

ELO progression

Resende
Bonsucesso
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Resende
Resende
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Dec. 2017
VOL
Volta Redonda
3 - 1
Resende
RES
58%
23%
19%
46 53 7 0
28 Dec. 2017
RES
Resende
3 - 2
América RJ
AME
49%
25%
26%
46 46 0 0
20 Dec. 2017
CAB
Cabofriense
3 - 0
Resende
RES
53%
24%
23%
47 50 3 -1
24 Aug. 2017
RES
Resende
2 - 3
Tigres do Brasil
TIG
67%
21%
13%
47 37 10 0
09 Aug. 2017
TIG
Tigres do Brasil
3 - 2
Resende
RES
25%
26%
50%
48 36 12 -1

Matches

Bonsucesso
Bonsucesso
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Dec. 2017
BON
Bonsucesso
0 - 1
Macaé Esporte
MAC
33%
26%
42%
42 47 5 0
21 Dec. 2017
AME
América RJ
0 - 1
Bonsucesso
BON
63%
21%
15%
41 46 5 +1
11 Mar. 2017
BON
Bonsucesso
0 - 0
Tigres do Brasil
TIG
56%
24%
20%
41 35 6 0
04 Mar. 2017
CAM
Campos
1 - 1
Bonsucesso
BON
53%
24%
24%
41 46 5 0
22 Feb. 2017
BON
Bonsucesso
0 - 1
Cabofriense
CAB
28%
24%
48%
42 48 6 -1
X