Resende vs Marítimo II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
65.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
10º
14º
13º
43
3º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Resende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 2
RES
75%
17%
8%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
RES
2 - 4
GUA
54%
20%
25%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CAM
2 - 1
RES
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
RES
0 - 3
LUS
25%
27%
48%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -3 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MAC
3 - 2
RES
23%
21%
56%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Marítimo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 0
GUA
77%
14%
9%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
LUS
3 - 1
MAR
49%
24%
26%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
GON
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SAL
1 - 1
MAR
59%
23%
18%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
REB
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |