Campeonato de Portugal Grupo B. Jor. 23

Resende vs Beira Mar SC analysis

Resende Beira Mar SC
24 ELO 45
-3.1% Tilt -6.3%
24981º General ELO ranking 5411º
636º Country ELO ranking 91º
ELO win probability
14%
Resende
21.4%
Draw
64.6%
Beira Mar SC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
Resende
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
64.6%
Win probability
Beira Mar SC
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Resende
-26%
-47%
Beira Mar SC

Points and table prediction

Resende
Their league position
Beira Mar SC
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
10º
14º
13º
47
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lusitania FC
49
52
35%
SC Salgueiros
49
52
16.5%
Rebordosa
48
51
59%
Beira Mar SC
47
48
77.5%
Marítimo II
43
44
100%
Valadares Gaia
39
42
93%
Gondomar
38
38
93%
Leça FC
30
33
71.5%
Camacha
31
32
71.5%
Machico
11º
25
29
10º
67%
Alpendorada
10º
29
29
11º
67%
Castro Daire
12º
20
20
12º
84%
Resende
13º
17
17
13º
84%
Guarda Desportiva
14º
10
11
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Resende
Beira Mar SC
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%

ELO progression

Resende
Beira Mar SC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Resende
Resende
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 2023
ALP
Alpendorada
2 - 0
Resende
RES
62%
19%
19%
25 31 6 0
05 Mar. 2023
RES
Resende
1 - 2
Marítimo II
MAR
16%
18%
66%
26 41 15 -1
26 Feb. 2023
VAL
Valadares Gaia
2 - 2
Resende
RES
75%
17%
8%
26 44 18 0
19 Feb. 2023
RES
Resende
2 - 4
Guarda Desportiva
GUA
54%
20%
25%
27 24 3 -1
12 Feb. 2023
CAM
Camacha
2 - 1
Resende
RES
64%
19%
17%
27 36 9 0

Matches

Beira Mar SC
Beira Mar SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 2023
BMA
Beira Mar SC
2 - 1
Marítimo II
MAR
56%
23%
21%
44 42 2 0
05 Mar. 2023
GUA
Guarda Desportiva
1 - 2
Beira Mar SC
BMA
15%
22%
63%
44 24 20 0
26 Feb. 2023
BMA
Beira Mar SC
1 - 2
Lusitania FC
LUS
54%
25%
21%
45 45 0 -1
19 Feb. 2023
GON
Gondomar
0 - 2
Beira Mar SC
BMA
38%
26%
36%
44 41 3 +1
12 Feb. 2023
BMA
Beira Mar SC
2 - 1
SC Salgueiros
SAL
36%
26%
38%
43 47 4 +1
X