Houffaloise vs Messancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
40.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Houffaloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
RES
1 - 3
SAR
42%
22%
36%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
OPP
3 - 0
RES
64%
18%
18%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
RES
3 - 1
FLO
75%
14%
11%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
RES
3 - 1
CHA
70%
16%
14%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ERE
1 - 1
RES
31%
22%
47%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Messancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
MES
4 - 1
LAR
59%
20%
21%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
MES
3 - 0
CHA
81%
12%
7%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ERE
1 - 0
MES
25%
21%
54%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MES
1 - 0
LOR
32%
22%
46%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
EBE
0 - 0
MES
50%
23%
27%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |